SoundHound AI’s Enterprise Is Hovering, However Does That Make the Inventory a Purchase?
Synthetic intelligence (AI) is making its manner into extra companies by the day. One space that’s witnessing some consideration in the mean time is the intersection between voice and AI.
Good assistants aren’t actually that new, although. Apple built-in Siri into its {hardware} gadgets greater than a decade in the past. Furthermore, smart-home gadgets from Amazon and Alphabet‘s Google have been a favourite amongst shopper electronics lovers for years.
However, maybe the corporate that’s receiving probably the most consideration in AI-powered voice functions is SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN).
Shares of the budding software program developer are up 138% thus far this yr. Furthermore, the corporate simply reported spectacular earnings for the primary quarter of 2024, which ended March 31.
Let’s dive into the monetary outcomes and assess if SoundHound represents a profitable funding alternative.
Voice and the following frontier of AI
AI-powered voice merchandise are extra prolific than you in all probability suppose. Along with Web of Issues (IoT) gadgets, voice recognition can play an necessary position in automobiles, fulfilling orders at eating places, customer support functions, gaming, and extra.
In accordance with analysis compiled by Fortune Enterprise Perception, the addressable marketplace for voice-recognition AI instruments is predicted to succeed in $50 billion by 2029, a fourfold enhance from its estimated dimension simply two years in the past.
SoundHound AI’s income is hovering…
For the primary quarter of 2024, SoundHound AI elevated income 73% yr over yr. Whereas this seems spectacular on the floor, keep in mind that its gross sales have been solely $11.6 million.
Contemplating administration is looking for income to be within the vary of $65 million to $77 million for all of 2024, it is clear that the corporate remains to be fairly small.
Furthermore, regardless of its income acceleration, it’s burning money at a better fee. Throughout the first quarter, the corporate reported working losses of $28.5 million. By comparability, SoundHound AI’s working loss was $25.2 million in the course of the first quarter of 2023.
These losses flowed all the way down to the underside line, as SoundHound AI’s internet earnings and earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) each fared worse within the newest first quarter in comparison with the identical interval final yr.
But the inventory stays expensive and questions linger
There was one a part of the earnings report that gave me some hesitation relating to shopping for shares in SoundHound.
The corporate ended the quarter with $226 million in money and equivalents on the stability sheet. That is by far SoundHound’s highest money stability as a public firm. Though this means robust liquidity, there’s extra to it than meets the attention.
Filings present that the corporate offered $137 million value of inventory in the course of the first quarter. In different phrases, given the inventory worth was rising rapidly in a comparatively quick time-frame, administration determined to promote shares with the intention to increase capital.
Whereas there’s nothing inherently unsuitable with this strategy, remember the fact that when administration determined to promote shares, traders have been those shopping for into this momentum. Subsequently, anybody who bought shares in the course of the first quarter doubtless did so at an inflated worth.
Furthermore, the corporate will not have the ability to resort to inventory gross sales perpetually. Ultimately, it’s going to must show that it may flip a revenue and generate constant money circulate. If not, traders will ultimately promote the inventory and the value will plummet.
As of the time of this text, SoundHound AI has a market capitalization of $1.7 billion and trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 24.8. By comparability, the P/S of the S&P 500 is 2.5.
Contemplating SoundHound is nowhere close to the dimensions of the businesses within the S&P 500, I believe its valuation is a bit wealthy. Moreover, given the rising variety of rivals within the voice-recognition pocket of the AI realm, I am skeptical of the corporate’s long-term prospects.
I see this as an organization creating fascinating expertise. However so far as funding prospects are involved, I believe there are too many dangers related to the enterprise.
The inventory is overvalued, and shopping for shares at this degree comes with outsize threat. I believe an funding in SoundHound AI is speculative, and I see a lot stronger alternatives within the AI panorama from bigger, extra established corporations.
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SoundHound AI’s Enterprise Is Hovering, However Does That Make the Inventory a Purchase? was initially printed by The Motley Idiot